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Source document· May 12, 2026

4 Leveraged ETF Winners of Last Week

View original at finance.yahoo.com
4 Leveraged ETF Winners of Last Week Wall Street offered an upbeat performance last week. State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY has added about 2.4% last week…
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  • In mid-April 2026, odds that the U.S. and Iran reach a nuclear deal by June were more than 70%.

    60% confidence
  • The United States was expecting a response on Friday from Iran on the proposal to end the war.

    60% confidence
  • Kalshi traders see a 58% probability that a U.S.-Iran deal is reached by 2027.

    60% confidence
  • Markets currently expect the Federal Reserve to leave rates unchanged through the remainder of the year as inflation remains elevated and the labor market cools only gradually.

    60% confidence
  • Kalshi traders see a 47% probability that a U.S.-Iran agreement is reached by September 2026.

    60% confidence
  • Micron Technology is one of the leading worldwide providers of semiconductor memory solutions.

    60% confidence
  • The labor market is stable rather than strong.

    60% confidence
  • Q1 earnings estimates have moved higher for 7 of the 16 Zacks sectors: Tech, Energy, Basic Materials, Utilities, Industrials, Retail, and Business Services.

    60% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

United States Government · population4.3 percent_unemployment_rate
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
AI Capital Surge Meets Investor Caution: Record Funding Rounds and Government Contracts Amid Valuation Skepticism
A single-week cluster of large AI/fintech funding rounds (Socure, Stability AI, Emerald AI, Generalist AI, Instinct, Gatik, Regent Craft) shows venture capital still pouring into AI infrastructure, identity, and autonomy plays, while Palantir's Army TITAN contract win coincided with a 6% stock drop — signaling that even flagship AI-defense revenue isn't immune to market reassessment of AI valuations. Efficiency-focused innovations like Multiverse Computing's model compression suggest the sector is also pivoting toward cost/inference economics as capital intensity draws scrutiny.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
The same metric (eps) for the same entity (Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC) reported for the identical fiscal period (Q1 2026) and observation date (2026-03-31) has two conflicting values: 3.43 USD_per_share vs 3.08 USD. This is not a temporal change — both observations claim to measure the same point in time. The ~10% discrepancy (0.35 USD difference) is material for a financial metric.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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