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Source document· November 13, 2025

Stock market today: Dow tumbles 800 points with Nasdaq, S&P 500 hammered as investors pare rate cut bets

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Stock market today: Dow tumbles 800 points with Nasdaq, S&P 500 hammered as investors pare rate cut bets US stocks fell sharply on Thursday, led by a decline in tech stocks as the end of the longest-ever US government shutdown was met by concern from investors that the Federal Reserve's plans for a December rate cut mi…
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  • We're in the digital gold rush

    80% confidence
  • Sees a temporary bearish scenario for bitcoin if the price falls below $93,000

    80% confidence
  • Demand in the economy is resilient and while unemployment risks moving higher, she doesn't think the job market has deteriorated further since the summer

    80% confidence
  • Bitcoin will be a larger asset class than gold by the year 2035

    80% confidence
  • While it's an extremely close call, he believes inflation is a more urgent risk than the job market right now

    80% confidence
  • Without a clear and durable macro catalyst, bitcoin and the broader crypto market are likely to remain range-bound

    80% confidence
  • The Tesla play isn't about the electric cars the company is known for, but about CEO Elon Musk's pitch to build a robot army

    80% confidence
  • Providing additional support to the economy through lower rates runs the risk of slowing or possibly even stalling inflation coming back down to the Fed's 2% target

    80% confidence
  • While some investors will end up with losses, the aggregate value of what's being created in AI is significant, therefore the rationality part comes in

    80% confidence
  • The household survey wasn't conducted in October, so October jobs report will include jobs data but not unemployment rate

    80% confidence
  • AI-driven startups are building businesses that differ widely from the highly successful but now outdated software as a service (SaaS) business model

    80% confidence
  • We are in a rational bubble with three key elements: not all foundational AI model companies will succeed yet all attract investment, diffusion into workplace isn't being discussed enough, and companies putting AI label on what they do to attract investment

    80% confidence
  • Robotics and Optimus is what investors should be playing for with Tesla

    80% confidence
  • This is the most important chapter ever from Musk and Tesla, the AI chapter, autonomous and robotics

    80% confidence
  • Economic reports delayed by the closure will be permanently impaired and will likely never be released

    80% confidence
  • We probably will never actually know for sure what the unemployment rate was in October

    80% confidence
  • While she supported cutting interest rates at the last policy meeting, the bar for cutting rates further is relatively high and she sees holding rates at current levels for some time

    80% confidence
  • Tesla market cap could reach $2-3 trillion, calling it best physical AI play besides Nvidia

    80% confidence
  • A Federal Reserve rate cut in December along with more dovishness from the central bank going into next year could be a positive catalyst for crypto

    80% confidence
  • 2035 is the .99 year when 99% of all bitcoin will have been mined

    80% confidence
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
AI Capital Surge Meets Investor Caution: Record Funding Rounds and Government Contracts Amid Valuation Skepticism
A single-week cluster of large AI/fintech funding rounds (Socure, Stability AI, Emerald AI, Generalist AI, Instinct, Gatik, Regent Craft) shows venture capital still pouring into AI infrastructure, identity, and autonomy plays, while Palantir's Army TITAN contract win coincided with a 6% stock drop — signaling that even flagship AI-defense revenue isn't immune to market reassessment of AI valuations. Efficiency-focused innovations like Multiverse Computing's model compression suggest the sector is also pivoting toward cost/inference economics as capital intensity draws scrutiny.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
The same metric (eps) for the same entity (Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC) reported for the identical fiscal period (Q1 2026) and observation date (2026-03-31) has two conflicting values: 3.43 USD_per_share vs 3.08 USD. This is not a temporal change — both observations claim to measure the same point in time. The ~10% discrepancy (0.35 USD difference) is material for a financial metric.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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Stock market today: Dow tumbles 800 points with Nasdaq, S&P 500 hammered as investors pare rate cut bets — Source | Via News | Via News