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Source document· February 13, 2026

2026 Is Poised For Even Bigger Gains Than Last Year

View original at finance.yahoo.com
2026 Is Poised For Even Bigger Gains Than Last Year Stocks are off to a mostly good, but uneven start this year. YTD, the Dow is up 2.99%; the S&P is off -0.14%; the Nasdaq is down -2.99%, the small-cap Russell 2000 is up 6.64%; and the mid-cap S&P 400 is up 7.82%…
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  • The best strategies produced gains up to +98.6% in 2025 while the S&P 500 gained +17.5%

    80% confidence
  • Q3 2026 EPS growth is forecast at 11.0%

    80% confidence
  • The AI boom could possibly result in 5 or more years of boom times similar to the 1995-1999 dot-com era

    80% confidence
  • The AI data center market could grow to $1 trillion by 2030

    80% confidence
  • Q1 2026 EPS growth is forecast at 10.8%

    80% confidence
  • We are on the cusp of a small-cap renaissance

    80% confidence
  • PCE index came in at 2.8%, down from previous month's 2.9% and below last year's high of 3.0%

    80% confidence
  • Stocks in the top 50% of Zacks Ranked Industries outperform those in the bottom 50% by a factor of 2 to 1

    80% confidence
  • Recent volatility in AI names is nothing more than long overdue profit taking after heady gains

    80% confidence
  • The AI boom is not over and companies investing heavily in AI will see a return

    80% confidence
  • Core CPI inflation is at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 3.3% earlier last year

    80% confidence
  • We are at the beginning of a new computing era

    80% confidence
  • AI demand is insatiable and AMD alone could grow by 35% a year for the next 3-5 years because of that

    80% confidence
  • The AI market is faster than anything we have seen before

    80% confidence
  • PPI wholesale inflation is at 3.0% year-over-year, up from last month's 2.6% but down from last year's high of 3.7%

    80% confidence
  • AI is the most powerful technology force of our time

    80% confidence
  • Q4 2026 EPS growth is forecast at 13.1%

    80% confidence
  • AI will revolutionize every industry, from healthcare to transportation

    80% confidence
  • Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy stocks have beaten the market in 29 of the last 38 years with an average annual return of nearly 24%

    80% confidence
  • We are still in the relatively early stages of the transformational AI boom and it has years more to go

    80% confidence
  • Q2 2026 EPS growth is forecast at 14.1%

    80% confidence
  • The amount of investment in AI will dwarf that of the dot-com era and already has

    80% confidence
  • 2026 will be the fourth consecutive year of double-digit gains for the S&P 500

    80% confidence
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
AI Capital Surge Meets Investor Caution: Record Funding Rounds and Government Contracts Amid Valuation Skepticism
A single-week cluster of large AI/fintech funding rounds (Socure, Stability AI, Emerald AI, Generalist AI, Instinct, Gatik, Regent Craft) shows venture capital still pouring into AI infrastructure, identity, and autonomy plays, while Palantir's Army TITAN contract win coincided with a 6% stock drop — signaling that even flagship AI-defense revenue isn't immune to market reassessment of AI valuations. Efficiency-focused innovations like Multiverse Computing's model compression suggest the sector is also pivoting toward cost/inference economics as capital intensity draws scrutiny.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
The same metric (eps) for the same entity (Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC) reported for the identical fiscal period (Q1 2026) and observation date (2026-03-31) has two conflicting values: 3.43 USD_per_share vs 3.08 USD. This is not a temporal change — both observations claim to measure the same point in time. The ~10% discrepancy (0.35 USD difference) is material for a financial metric.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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