Saturday, September 5, 2026
Via News Knowledge File

Federal Reserve

government agency80% conf.·synced Sep 5, 2026

U.S. central bank that may implement rate cuts as potential demand stimulus

59
sourced metrics
1519
relationships
20
stated objectives
8
Via News reports

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Key metrics · each point sourced

Unemployment Rate Forecast
4.4percent
Dec 31, 2026⚠ sources conflictsource
Core Pce Inflation Forecast
2.5percent
Dec 31, 2026⚠ sources conflictsource
Rate Hike Probability July
33percent
Jul 29, 2026source
Rate Hike Probability
31percent
Jul 8, 2026source
Rate Hike Probability Next Meeting
36percent
Jun 18, 2026source
Parameter Count
2percent
Jun 3, 2026source
Inflation Forecast
3.6percent
Jun 1, 2026source
Implied Rate Cut Probability Next Meeting
0percent
May 28, 2026source
Cash
6.7trillion_USD
May 24, 2026source
Debt
40trillion_USD_national_debt
May 19, 2026source
Gdp
3.75percent_upper_bound
May 17, 2026source
Employee Count
17chairs_historically
May 16, 2026source
Fomc Rate Cut Probability Next Meeting
3percent
Apr 30, 2026source
Fed Funds Rate
4percent
Apr 18, 2026source
Rate Cut Forecast
1cuts
Apr 17, 2026source
Inflation Target
2percent
Apr 17, 2026source
Expected Rate End 2026
3.50percent
Apr 17, 2026source
Balance Sheet
6.7trillion_USD
Apr 15, 2026source

Stated objectives

Rate cuts in 2026

source
target: 1 by 2026-01-01 00:00:00stated

Normalization of target rate

source
target: 3.5% or 3.0% stated

Inflation rate target

source
target: 2.5% by 2026-01-01 00:00:00stated

Reduce federal funds rate by 250 basis points by end of 2026

source
target: 250 basis points decline by 2026-12-31 00:00:00stated

Purchase up to $40B per month in Treasury bills plus approximately $15B from MBS paydowns through reserve management program

source
target: 40B USD per month in bills stated

Cut interest rates two more times in 2025

source
target: 2 cuts by 2025-01-01 00:00:00stated

Bring interest rate range to 4%-4.25%

source
target: 4-4.25 percent by 2025-09-17 00:00:00stated

Reduce inflation to 2% target

source
target: 2 percent stated

Reduce Fed funds rate to 3.5-3.75% range by December 2025 meeting

source
target: 3.5-3.75% by 2025-12-31 00:00:00stated

Cut interest rates in December 2026

source
target: 25 basis points by 2026-12-01 00:00:00stated

Relationship graph · 1519 connections

regulates
564
Employs
368
subsidiary of
193
governs
63
Covered by
57
board member of
34
regulated by
23
located in
20

Via News coverage

This Knowledge File is assembled from Via News's source-traceable knowledge graph. Metrics, objectives and relationships are extracted from primary and credible secondary documents and refreshed on a schedule. Read our methodology →
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
AI Capital Surge Meets Investor Caution: Record Funding Rounds and Government Contracts Amid Valuation Skepticism
A single-week cluster of large AI/fintech funding rounds (Socure, Stability AI, Emerald AI, Generalist AI, Instinct, Gatik, Regent Craft) shows venture capital still pouring into AI infrastructure, identity, and autonomy plays, while Palantir's Army TITAN contract win coincided with a 6% stock drop — signaling that even flagship AI-defense revenue isn't immune to market reassessment of AI valuations. Efficiency-focused innovations like Multiverse Computing's model compression suggest the sector is also pivoting toward cost/inference economics as capital intensity draws scrutiny.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
The same metric (eps) for the same entity (Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC) reported for the identical fiscal period (Q1 2026) and observation date (2026-03-31) has two conflicting values: 3.43 USD_per_share vs 3.08 USD. This is not a temporal change — both observations claim to measure the same point in time. The ~10% discrepancy (0.35 USD difference) is material for a financial metric.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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Checked against the original source
4,981
facts traced to their source — and we flag the ones that don't hold up.
101 entities tracked4,981 facts checked against source5,273 source documents archived
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