Explore the substrate
Search everything we hold — entities, source-backed facts, the conclusions we’re drawing, and the sources behind them. Type a topic, not just a claim. How we source →
15 items across the substrate for “Fed policy”
What we're concluding
110-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5% as Fed Faces Intensifying Oversight
The 10-year Treasury yield surged to 5%, its highest level since 2007, marking a sharp tightening of financial conditions that raises borrowing costs across the economy and pressures rate-sensitive equities, including high-multiple AI and fintech names. The move coincides with a dense cycle of Federal Reserve congressional testimony spanning monetary policy, bank supervision, and financial innovation, signaling heightened scrutiny of how the central bank is managing the tightening cycle and its spillover into technology-driven finance.
Source-backed facts
6policy_rate_cut_probability: 80 percent
fed_funds_rate: 3.75 percent (Q1 2026)
Sources we've traced
8Fed meeting live updates: Federal Reserve expected to hold rates steady, share outlook amid Iran oil shock
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rise as Fed meeting kicks off, JOLTS data shows openings rose
Kevin Warsh comes into the Fed facing a big 'family fight' over cutting interest rates
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq waver as Fed holds rates steady, Big Tech earnings loom
Stock market today: Dow and S&P 500 slip, Nasdaq rises as Fed meeting kicks off, JOLTS data shows openings rose
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rally as Fed cuts interest rates by 25 basis points
Stock market today: S&P 500 slips from record as Fed stands pat, Nasdaq rises before Big Tech earnings flurry
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500 edge higher, Nasdaq wavers as Fed cuts interest rates by 25 basis points